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New predictions for vCJD numbers


, : New predictions for vCJD numbers. British Food Journal 105(7): 420-433

Assuming BSE causes vCJD, the numbers and characteristics of the vCJD outbreak are re-estimated using vCJD mortality data to the end of 2001. The results of the earlier analyses are confirmed. The mean mortality period is found to be less than ten years, with seven years the most likely figure; the number of human victims will be restricted to hundreds, even if the distribution turns out to be bimodal, and the most likely figure is calculated as 130.

US$19.90

DOI: 10.1108/00070700310497228


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